A Treatise On the Methods of Observation And Reasoning in Politics volume 2

Cover A Treatise On the Methods of Observation And Reasoning in Politics volume 2
A Treatise On the Methods of Observation And Reasoning in Politics volume 2
George Cornewall Lewis
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We have already shown that political theory deals only with truth ; that it merely affirms certain constant or predominant relations of phenomena, and laws of causation; that it lays down no rules or maxims of conduct, and therefore that, as theory, it prescribes nothing. (") "NVc will now add, that it predicts nothing absolutely : it does not declare, formally and directly, that any event will happen. Virtually, indeed, and in substance, it may be said to predict, inasmuch as it lays down cert
...ain general affirmations and laws of causation, which are as applicable to the future as to the past or the present. These propositions, like similar propositions in physics, merely assert the tendency of a cause, supposing it to operate unchecked ; they are general and hypothetical — they neither refer to any single case, nor to any absolute set of data. Hence, if they are viewed in the light of predictions, they predict only in a qualified and conditional manner. They affirm only, that if all the data which they assume arc present, and all disturbing forces arc absent, a cer- tain consequence will follow; but this is not a positive predic- tion that a certain event will happen in an actual concrete case.

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