Asset Pricing And Expected Inflation

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Asset Pricing And Expected Inflation
Ren M Stulz
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, n (11) i ki i ki i ki - 12 - with equation (11) instead of equation (1), all the results of Section 2 still hold, except for the fact that all y^. 's are multiplied by x.
We first consider the effect of an unanticipated fall in x assuming that the expected rate of growth of the money stock increases so that expected inflation is left unchanged. To simplify the discussion, we assume that unanticipated changes in the price of money are uncorrelated with output. In this case, equation (9) can be
... rewritten as: • -1 xu V [xu - r. L ] Mk = -r* - e — =si (12) ieY. [xy e - r. L e ] The effect of a fall in x on u, and r is given by the following theorem: Theorem 2 . For a constant expected rate of change of the price of money, an unexpected fall in x decreases the expected real rate of return of the market portfolio of investments in production u, and the real rate of interest r. Furthermore, u, falls by more than r and the price of production risk, (y k -r)/a, falls. Proof . See Appendix.

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