New Essays Concerning Human Understanding

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Dutens, 6, Pt. I., 318, says of it: " Chrisliani Ilugenii ratiocinia de lusu alese. Franc.
Schotenii scriptis matliematicis adjecta, sunt elegans specimen ratiocinationis de gradibus probabilitatis." Spinoza also discussed the calculation of probabilities in games of chance.
540 LEIBNITZ'S CRITIQUE OF LOCKE [bk. iv Other learned men entered into the subject. Some principles were established of which the Pensioner De Witt also availed himself in a brief discourse printed in Dutch on annuities.'
...The foundation on which they have built goes back to the prosthai-)ha'resis,^ i.e. the taking of an arithmetical mean be- tween several equally receivable suppositions. Our peasants also have made use of it for a long time according to their natural mathematics. For example, when some inheritance or land is to be sold, they form three bodies of appraisers ; these bodies are called Schurzen in Low Saxon, and each body makes an estimate of the property in question. Suppose, then, that the first estimates its value to be 1000 crowns, the second 1400, the third 1500; the sum of these three estimates is taken, viz.

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