Targeted Repurchases And Common Stock Returns

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Targeted Repurchases And Common Stock Returns
Wayne H Mikkelson
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Is the forecasted value and a and 6 are regression estimates. The -35- FOOTNOTES (continued) variance of the forecast error is: ic ^a 9 9 ^ *9 ^ 9 ifr A ^ E(R . - R J = T Var(a) + R Var(6) + To + 2TR Cov(a, 6) J J m m Substituting the value for the variance and covariance of the ordinary least squares coefficients provides Equation A. We are indebted to Craig Ansley for pointing this out.
8. The average abnormal return and the t-statistic can differ in sign because the former assigns uniform we
...ights to each observation whereas the latter assigns non-uniform weights (equal to the inverse standard deviation) to each observation.
9. For 13d filings that are not associated with outstanding takeover proposals, Mikkelson and Ruback (1985) report average prediction errors of 2. 88% for target firms and 1. 17% for firms that acquired 5% or more of the target firm.
10. In many cases, we identified the filing date of Schedule 13d, but not the date the 5% ownershp position was attained. Since regulations require a filing of Schedule 13d within ten days after reaching the 5% level, we chose to define the purchase date as ten days before the filing date.


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